Ukraine Economic Outlook
October 3, 2017The recovery deteriorated further in Q2, after annual growth halved in Q1. The trade blockade with the eastern regions continued to dampen activity and, together with poor agricultural production, caused exports to plummet. Growth is expected to decelerate further in H2, and incoming data for Q3 has been mixed. On a positive note, the country had a successful return to capital markets in September, raising USD 3 billion through a 15-year Eurobond, the country’s first bond issue since 2015. The return illustrated investors’ reinvigorated confidence in the economy; however, there is a risk that the successful issue could reduce authorities’ resolve to comply with the IMF program. The government has been dragging its heels in pursuing mandated reforms, particularly to address corruption. While pension reform is expected to be passed, the bill has been severely watered down by amendments. Slow reform momentum is delaying the next tranche of IMF loans, and the government’s 2018 budget was drafted based on approval of the pension reform—meaning that the government cannot vote on the budget until the reform is passed.
Ukraine Economy Data
5 years of Ukraine economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
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|Bond Yield||19.00||0.0 %||Jul 27|
|Exchange Rate||26.52||-0.28 %||Oct 13|
|Stock Market||297||-0.02 %||Oct 13|
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Ukraine Economic Growth
October 3, 2017The recovery is seen picking up pace next year, after weather woes and the economic blockade hold back growth in 2017. Met the why particular panelists see GDP rising 2.0% in 2017. In 2018, growth is expected to pick up to 2.8%, unchanged from last month’s forecast.
Ukraine Economic News
October 11, 2017
In September, consumer prices rose 2.0% from the previous month, which contrasted August’s 0.1% decrease.
September 28, 2017
According to data released by the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, industrial activity grew 1.2% in August over the same month last year, contrasting July’s 2.6% contraction.
September 22, 2017
Ukraine’s recovery remained on feeble footing in the second quarter as tensions with rebel-held areas continued to stifle economic activity.
September 14, 2017
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) kept the key policy rate at 12.50% at its 14 September monetary policy meeting.
September 14, 2017
In August, consumer prices fell 0.1% from the previous month, which contrasted July’s 0.2% increase.