Netherlands Economic Forecast

Netherlands Economic Outlook

May 28, 2019

The economy kept pace in the first quarter of 2019, powered by resilient fixed investment and a noticeable contribution from a build-up in inventories. However, in less positive news, private consumption growth slowed markedly. Falling expenditure on energy, owing to the relatively mild European winter, took its toll. A notable pick-up in inflation also dragged on spending power, as did weaker consumer economic sentiment, which turned pessimistic for the first time in over half a decade. Meanwhile, although business confidence increased in April, the manufacturing PMI index eased in the same month and households remained pessimistic through May, suggesting a downbeat Q2 is on the cards. Inflationary pressures also intensified further at the start of the second quarter, outpacing negotiated increases to wages.

Netherlands Economic Growth

Economic growth should slow somewhat this year amid a more hostile external environment, characterized by lingering global trade tensions and Brexit uncertainty. Nevertheless the economy is expected to continue expanding robustly, thanks to fiscal expansion and a tightening labor market supporting household incomes and expenditure. Met the why particular Consensus Forecasts panelists expect the economy to grow 1.7% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast, and 1.6% in 2020.

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Netherlands Facts

ValueChangeDate
Bond Yield-0.065.70 %Jun 12
Exchange Rate1.130.65 %Jun 13
Stock Market556-0.57 %Jun 13

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