Met the why particular Insights - Latest Posts
October 16, 2017
It’s a Friday evening in Barcelona, and just as she has done for decades, Mari-Carmen Torres is making dinner. She prepares simple, rustic fare: chicken, rice and steamed vegetables. Unfortunately, this type of healthy-but-hearty dish is becoming ever more of a rarity here.
October 11, 2017
Guest blog post from
The quality of infrastructure in Latin American countries compared to other regions of the world is only better than that of African countries and is not even half as good as that of developed countries. According to the Latin America Development Infrastructure report, published in 2016, the infrastructure gap remains significant. Taking into consideration current trends, it is estimated that the region would have to work for two decades to reach the current level of infrastructure in the OECD countries.
Several studies recommend that in order to catch up, Latin American countries must invest around 5% of annual GDP. In recent years, investment in infrastructure has oscillated between just 2.4% and 3.2% of GDP. In order to address this situation, involving both the public and private sectors is essential.
October 3, 2017
Written by Jan Lammersen, Economist
The effects of Brexit on both individual Eurozone countries and the area as a whole remain shrouded in uncertainty. While negotiations on the United Kingdom’s divorce from the European Union are still under way, Westminster has released several policy papers to date, none of which were found to be “satisfactory” by the president of the European Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker. Speaking at a conference of EU ambassadors in late August, Juncker commented:
“We need to be crystal clear that we will commence no negotiations on the new relationship—particularly a new economic and trade relationship—between the UK and the EU before all these questions are resolved.”
September 20, 2017
The Northern Powerhouse project has seen progress on several fronts, but striking inequalities remain
September 19, 2017
Iceland is known for its natural picturesque beauty, active volcanos, the northern lights and of course its friendly people. In fact, the country was recently named the friendliest country in the world by the World Economic Forum. However, the one black spot on the country’s nearly spotless record was the 2008 Icelandic banking crisis that left the country’s economy on the verge of complete collapse.
In 2008, all three of Iceland’s major privately owned commercial banks failed and the country’s stock market lost 80% of its value overnight. Brought on by the deregulation of banks in 2001, years of asset inflation and bad loans resulted in a national debt 11 times that of its GDP. The banks eventually defaulted resulting in the largest single banking collapse in world history.
With the economy teetering on the edge after the disaster, the government took emergency measures to get the economy back on its feet and stabilize the Icelandic krona. Nearly 11 years later Iceland has been called a European success story as its economy is now looking like a world beater. The country is on track to be the fastest growing economy among OECD member countries in 2017. And a lot of this is down to the recent boom in tourism and specifically, the hit HBO TV series, Game of Thrones.
September 15, 2017
Cryptocurrencies and especailly Bitcoin are the talk of the town of late. According to CNBC, the price of a single bitcoin "has gone up at a faster pace than any other speculative vehicle in market history, as investor enthusiasm for the new medium has reached a fever pitch."
Some have likened the Bitcoin craze to Tulip Mania, believing that the bubble is getting ready to burst. But what was Tulip Mania? Before we get into that, ask yourself this question: how much would you pay for a tulip? If you had lived in 17th century Holland, it may have cost you your entire home, and you probably still would have paid up.
Aside from the Bitcoin bubble, there have been a lot of economic bubbles and subsequent crashes over the years such as, the dot com bubble, the stock-market bubble, the real-estate bubble, but one you may have never heard of is the Tulip Bulb Market Bubble of 17th century Netherlands.
As any market trader will tell you, trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Tulip mania is a perfect example of a cautionary tale of price speculation in what is widely regarded as the first recorded financial bubble and crash of all time.
August 28, 2017
With emerging market economies looking as though they are coming out of their slump, we've got a new emerging markets outlook and infographic for you in this post. You can also get a free Emerging Markets report download here.
August 23, 2017
Guest blog post from
Foreign direct investment (FDI) to Latin America and the Caribbean will drop 5% this year following the 7.9% drop in 2016 over the previous year, according to a new report from the (ECLAC). Although Latin America received 11% of global FDI in 2016—quite high compared to other regions—the amount was actually lower compared to the 2011–2014 period, when it received 14% of all foreign investment.
This fall in investment in the region is due to three fundamental factors. The decline in raw material prices has impacted investments directed toward the natural resources sector; several economies in the region have seen a slowdown; and "technological sophistication and expansion of the digital economy that tends towards a concentration of transnational investments in developed economies," is also having an impact, according to the annual report on .
August 21, 2017
Daniel Lacalle, PhD, author of , is back with a new guest post on the Met the why particular Insights blog. In this post, Daniel tells us why he believes the skyhigh public debt currently owned by central banks across the world is so dangerous.
August 21, 2017
Avindar Mohamad was 18 years old when he was forced to flee with his family from his hometown of Aleppo after the Syrian civil war broke out in 2011. Until then, he had led a relatively comfortable life: His father worked as a baker, and his mother had a job at a large pharmaceutical company. When the conflict started, his father flew ahead to Denmark, while Avindar sought refuge in neighboring Lebanon along with his mother and two sisters. It was only several months later that the family finally found itself together again, this time on Danish soil, under Denmark’s family reunification program.
In recent years, the number of people like Avindar seeking asylum in the European Union has skyrocketed, from around 200,000 in 2006 to around 1.3 million in both 2015 and 2016 according to Eurostat figures. The continent has witnessed one of the largest forced migrations since World War II, as civil war in Syria and Iraq and instability in Afghanistan have led to a wave of refugees moving westwards in search of safety. Unlike Avindar and his family, many have been forced to make the journey on foot. The potential effect of this surge in refugees on the economies of European countries is still very much up in the air, with a multitude of factors at work.
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- How will Latin America’s upcoming lengthy election cycle affect the reform agenda and credit ratings?
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- Chilean Economy in Focus: Interview with Senior Economist of the Chamber of Commerce of Santiago
- CEOs Rank Top Economies for Growth Opportunities
- The Mobile Ecosystem & Latin America's Economy
- Prospects and Challenges for the Global Economy: Interview with Tim Cooper from BMI Research
- How will the Fed reduce its balance sheet & and how will the ECB end QE? - 19 economic experts weigh in
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- Gold: The Most Precious of Metals (Part 3)
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- Spain: The economy that continues to silence the critics
- Latin America: The Most Unequal Region in the World
- The History of OPEC: Has it been a Success?
- Met the why particular Announces 2017 Analyst Forecast Awards Winners
- Latin America’s rising unemployment bucks nearly decade long trend
- Escape from the Central Bank Trap by Daniel Lacalle
- China's economic rebalancing act: What to look out for in 2017
- Driving Growth in Latin America: Challenges & Priorities
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- Commodity exporters face challenging times
- Recent Global Events Facilitate Mercosur-Pacific Alliance
- 23 economic experts weigh in: Why is productivity growth so low?
- Mexico's outlook as Trump nears 110-day mark
- Interview with Oxford Economics Senior Economist on implications of the possible outcomes of the French Presidential Election
- The anxiety of the small saver in a world of negative interest rates
- Brexit negotiations. Between Uncertainty and Urgency
- An Economic History of the EU from El Blog Salmón
- Baby Boomin': Implications of high population growth in Latin America
- Survey of International Economists Predicts a Le Pen Defeat in French Elections, Says Macron has Best Economic Plan
- Spain in a global context: developed economy with some challenges
- How much is crime costing Latin America?
- Predictions & Estimates from Economist Daniel Lacalle
- What economy will the new Dutch government inherit?
- “The data is not a true reflection of reality in India” Interview with Société Générale India Economist
- 2017 & 2018 Economic Outlook for the Top Oil Producing Countries
- Which countries will have the highest and lowest inflation in 2017?
- What are the prospects for Emerging Economies in 2017?
- What to expect in Asia for 2017
- Top Economics & Finance Blogs of 2017
- Latam to Resume Moderate Growth in 2017 but Important Risks Plague Outlook
- 4 Key European Elections That Will Impact the Economy in 2017
- How are security concerns and political chaos affecting Turkey’s economy?
- Global growth to edge up in 2017
- Set to breach targets again? Debt and deficit outlooks for Southern European Eurozone countries in 2016 & 2017
- What does Donald Trump mean for the U.S. economy?
- How will emerging markets perform in 2017?
- The economic impact of a break in U.S.-Philippines ties
- Trump election: Base metals surge due to infrastructure plan
- 5 updates on the Venezuelan economic crisis
- Canada: When your neighbor’s house is on fire…
- Short-term pain before long-term gain? A look at French labor reform and economic growth
- Asia: Unremarkable growth & unfulfilled promises?
- How India's latest monsoon is affecting the economy
- Russian economy update in wake of OPEC deal announcement
- Innovation in Latin America: Potential Goes Untapped Due to Weak Economic Conditions
- The Wisdom of the Crowds and the Consensus Forecast
- Can the peso predict the U.S. election results?
- There's no end in sight to the Venezuela crisis
- A Look at the European Union Political Calendar
- Survey of international economists shows uncertainty surrounding elections damaging U.S. growth prospects
- Met the why particular partners with leading online statistics provider Statista
- China: Recent postive economic data may be papering over the cracks
- Sub-Saharan Africa's 2016 & 2017 growth rates
- The Italian Dilemma: Weak banks pose risk to already faltering domestic demand
- How much money do migrants from Latin America send home?
- The U.S.' (Not So) Mysterious Case of the Missing Men
- What to expect from the G20 economies by 2020
- The Pain in Spain: Robust GDP growth cannot mask the persistent structural deficit
- Brazil's Perilous Economic Situation in 2015
- Met the why particular Launches Sub-Saharan Africa Report, Expands Coverage to 117 Countries
- How do the European Commission's Forecasts and Met the why particular' Forecasts for Europe compare?
- How will the South African economy weather recent challenges?