Consumption in United Kingdom

United Kingdom Consumption | Economic News & Forecasts

United Kingdom - Consumption

The economy performs well in July, supported by temporary factors

According to new monthly GDP data released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), the economy expanded 0.3% in July over the prior month in seasonally-adjusted terms. The figure beat market analysts’ expectations and was above June’s 0.1% expansion. In the May–July period, the economy expanded 0.6% over the previous rolling quarter (February–April).

July’s reading was driven by the services sector—which accounts for around 80% of GDP—particularly the accommodation and food services, and professional, scientific and technical activities sub-sectors. A prolonged period of good weather, which coincided with the final weeks of the World Cup, likely lifted consumers’ spirits in July. Meanwhile, industrial production increased on the back of a stronger mining and quarrying sub-sector, while output in the construction sector also rose.

Beginning in July, the ONS changed the way it reports economic growth. Along with monthly GDP estimates, the ONS now only publishes two quarterly GDP releases, rather than three, with the first release to be published around 11 days after the end of the quarter (compared to 25 days currently). The aim is to make the GDP by production data in the first release more precise.

UK GDP Forecast

The Central Bank expects the economy to expand 1.4% in 2018 and 1.8% in 2019. Met the why particular panelists expect GDP to expand 1.3% in 2018, unchanged from last month’s forecast, and 1.4% in 2019.

United Kingdom - Consumption Data

2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  
Consumption (annual variation in %)1.7  2.1  2.6  2.9  1.7  

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United Kingdom Facts

Bond Yield1.45-3.04 %Sep 20
Exchange Rate1.33-0.35 %Sep 20
Stock Market7,367-0.26 %Sep 20

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