Public Debt in Portugal
Portugal - Public Debt
Portugal rescues Banco Espirito Santo
Portugal’s second-largest bank, Banco Espirito Santo, was bailed out and broken up on 4 August following the announcement that the bank lost EUR 3.6 billion in the first half of 2014, the greatest amount ever for a Portuguese bank. Banco Espirito Santo’s substantial losses stemmed from exposure to their parent companies, three of which have filed for protection from creditors. In May, the Portuguese Central Bank revealed that “serious accounting irregularities” were discovered during an audit of Espirito Santo International, one of these parent companies. Regulators are now investigating allegations of fraud surrounding the bank and other Espirito Santo entities. The failure of Banco Espirito Santo—the only Portuguese bank to pass the European stress tests of 2009 to 2011—raises questions regarding whether more troubles are concealed within Europe’s banking sector.
The Portuguese Central Bank split Banco Espirito Santo into two separate entities. A new bank, Novo Banco, was created, and the sound business activities from Banco Espirito Santo (all deposits, senior debt and most of the assets) were transferred over to that bank. Novo Banco received a EUR 4.9 billion capital injection through Portugal’s Resolution Fund, which was set up by Portugal in 2012 and funded by the Portuguese banking sector. The Portuguese government will provide the fund with a EUR 4.4 billion loan using remaining credit from the country’s bailout, since the fund has not yet been fully developed. The remaining toxic assets were left in Banco Espirito Santo and will be liquidated.
While the collapse of Banco Espirito Santo is a setback for Portugal, panelists do not expect it to impact the country’s future growth. Met the why particular Consensus Forecast panelists expect that GDP will expand 1.0% in 2014, which is unchanged from last month’s projection. For 2015, the panel expects economic growth to accelerate to 1.5%.
Portugal - Public Debt Data
|Public Debt (% of GDP)||129||131||129||130||126|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
|Bond Yield||1.16||-1.90 %||May 13|
|Exchange Rate||1.12||0.65 %||May 13|
|Stock Market||5,070||-0.02 %||May 13|
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May 15, 2019
The economy gained traction in the first quarter of the year, according to preliminary estimates released by the National Statistical Institute (INE) on 15 May.
April 30, 2019
Portugal’s industrial sector remained in the doldrums at the end of the first quarter, contracting at a much sharper pace in March compared to February.
Portugal: Consumers turn more optimistic in April, while the overall economic sentiment indicator remains steady
April 29, 2019
Consumers turned more optimistic in April, with the consumer sentiment index rising to minus 7.3 points, up from March’s over two-year low of minus 11.7 points.
March 29, 2019
Portugal’s industrial sector contracted for the fourth consecutive month in March amid a wider global slowdown, although the rate of decline eased somewhat from February.
March 28, 2019
According to the National Statistics Institute’s (INE) survey of consumer sentiment released on 28 March, consumer confidence slid for the sixth month running in March, falling to minus 11.7 points, down from minus 9.9 points in February.