Trade Balance in Mexico

Mexico Trade Balance | Economic News & Forecasts

Mexico - Trade Balance

Trade surplus hides downbeat manufacturing in February

Merchandise trade recorded a sizable USD 1.2 billion surplus in February, up from the USD 0.9 billion windfall registered in the same month a year ago and in line with analysts’ expectations. Despite the rosy headline, February’s surplus was almost entirely due to a drop in oil imports related to the transitory bottlenecks arising from efforts to halt fuel theft. Moreover, the result contrasted the USD 4.8 billion deficit recorded in January.

Export growth on an annual basis slid to 3.5% from 5.7% in January, hurt by manufacturing exports. For its part, automotive-sector export growth fell sharply from a month earlier. Import growth, meanwhile, fell to 2.7% from 6.1% in January. Intermediate-good import growth—typically, a bellwether for manufacturing output—slipped from a month earlier. On the upside, consumer-good import growth ticked higher.

As such, the 12-month trailing trade deficit narrowed to USD 13.8 billion from USD 14.1 billion in January.

LatinFocus analysts expect exports to reach USD 479 billion in 2019, which would represent a 6.2% year-on-year expansion. Meanwhile, imports are expected to expand 6.2% and reach USD 493 billion. For 2020, the panel expects exports and imports to grow 6.8% and 6.3%, respectively.

Mexico - Trade Balance Data

2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  
Trade Balance (USD billion)-1.2  -3.1  -14.7  -13.1  -11.0  

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Mexico Trade Balance Chart

Mexico Trade
Note: Trade balance in USD billion.
Source: Mexico National Statistical Institute (INEGI).

Mexico Facts

Bond Yield8.55-0.24 %Jan 30
Exchange Rate19.13-0.29 %Jan 30
Stock Market43,6210.12 %Jan 30

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