Inflation in Italy
Italy - Harmonized Inflation (end of period)
Inflation softens in September following four consecutive months of acceleration
According to provisional data released by the National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) on 28 September, consumer prices dropped 0.4% month-on-month in September, reversing August’s 0.4% increase. The figure largely reflected lower prices for services related to transport, and recreation and culture—mainly attributable to seasonal factors—which were partially offset by higher prices for education, and clothing and footwear. Meanwhile, inflation came in at 1.5% in September, below August’s 1.6% print and marking the first deceleration in five months.
Core consumer prices, which exclude more volatile categories such as unprocessed food and energy, dropped 0.6% month-on-month in September, contrasting August’s 0.5% rise. Meanwhile, core inflation remained stable at August’s 0.8% in September, and harmonized inflation was unchanged at the previous month’s 1.6%.
Italy Inflation Forecast
Met the why particular Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation of 1.4% in 2018, which is unchanged from last month’s projection. For 2019, panelists expect inflation to average 1.5%, also unchanged from last month’s estimate.
Italy - Harmonized Inflation (eop) Data
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate (HICP, annual variation in %, eop) | 0.7 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
Italy Harmonized Inflation (eop) Chart
Source: National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) and Met the why particular calculations.
Italy Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 3.59 | -0.11 % | Oct 12 |
| Exchange Rate | 1.16 | 0.65 % | Oct 12 |
| Stock Market | 19,256 | -0.99 % | Oct 12 |
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Economic News
Italy: Industrial production rebounds strongly in August
October 11, 2018
Industrial output jumped 1.7% in August on a month-on-month, seasonally-adjusted basis, contrasting July’s revised 1.6% decrease (previously reported: -1.8% month-on-month).
Italy: Manufacturing sector stagnates in September
October 3, 2018
The IHS Markit manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) dipped to an over two-year low of 50.0 in September from August’s 50.1.
Italy: Inflation softens in September following four consecutive months of acceleration
September 28, 2018
According to provisional data released by the National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) on 28 September, consumer prices dropped 0.4% month-on-month in September, reversing August’s 0.4% increase.
Italy: Business confidence dips to 20-month low as uncertainty over economic policies persists
September 27, 2018
The National Institute of Statistics (Istat)’s composite business confidence indicator (Clima di Fiducia delle Imprese Italiane, IESE)—which covers the manufacturing, construction, services and retail sectors—edged down to 113.7 points in September from August’s revised 113.9 points (previously reported: 113.8 points). September’s reading was the result of a deterioration in sentiment in the construction sector, which more than offset improved sentiment in the manufacturing and business services sectors.
Italy: Consumer confidence recovers some lost ground in September
September 27, 2018
The consumer confidence index released by the National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) edged up to 116.0 points in September from August’s revised 115.3 points (previously reported: 115.2 points). Consumers’ expectations of the future general economic situation and their assessments of the current general economic situation improved, while their expectations of their future personal economic situation and their assessments of their current personal economic situation deteriorated slightly.
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