Inflation in Italy
Italy - Harmonized Inflation (end of period)
Inflation falls in January on cooling energy prices
According to provisional data released by the National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) on 4 February, consumer prices rose 0.1% month-on-month in January, contrasting December’s 0.1% decline. The figure reflected higher prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages, as well as for housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels, which more than offset lower prices for non-regulated energy products, and for clothing and footwear. Meanwhile, inflation came in at 0.9% in January, below December’s 1.1% print, and the lowest print since April 2018.
Core consumer prices, which exclude more volatile categories such as unprocessed food and energy, remained unchanged from the previous month in January, following December’s 0.2% increase. Meanwhile, core inflation inched down to 0.5% in January from December’s 0.6%, and harmonized inflation decreased to 0.9% from December’s 1.2%.
Italy Inflation Forecast
Met the why particular Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation of 1.5% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s projection. For 2020, panelists expect inflation to average 1.7%.
Italy - Harmonized Inflation (eop) Data
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate (HICP, annual variation in %, eop) | 0.7 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
Italy Harmonized Inflation (eop) Chart
Source: National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) and Met the why particular calculations.
Italy Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 2.82 | -0.11 % | Feb 14 |
| Exchange Rate | 1.13 | 0.65 % | Feb 14 |
| Stock Market | 19,835 | -0.99 % | Feb 14 |
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Economic News
Italy: Industrial production contracts again in December
February 8, 2019
Industrial output contracted 0.8% in December on a month-on-month, seasonally-adjusted basis, following November’s revised 1.7% contraction (previously reported: -1.6% month-on-month).
Italy: Inflation falls in January on cooling energy prices
February 4, 2019
According to provisional data released by the National Statistical Institute (ISTAT) on 4 February, consumer prices rose 0.1% month-on-month in January, contrasting December’s 0.1% decline.
Italy: Manufacturing sector starts the new year in dire conditions
February 1, 2019
The IHS Markit manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 47.8 in January from December’s 49.2, marking the worst reading in close to six years.
Italy: Economy falls into recession in Q4
January 31, 2019
Confirming the markets’ gloomiest predictions, Italy’s GDP contracted for the second consecutive quarter over the previous period in seasonally- and working-day adjusted terms in the last quarter of last year, according to an advance estimate released by the National Statistics Office (ISTAT) on 31 January.
Italy: Business confidence gets gloomier at the start of the year
January 30, 2019
The National Institute of Statistics (Istat)’s composite business confidence indicator (Clima di Fiducia delle Imprese Italiane, IESE)—which covers the manufacturing, construction, market services and retail sectors—edged down to 99.2 points in January from December’s revised 99.7 points (previously reported: 99.8 points), marking the worst reading in nearly two years and a half. January’s reading was the result of deteriorating sentiment in the manufacturing, retail trade and market services sectors, which more than offset improved sentiment in the construction sector.
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