GDP in Estonia
Estonia - GDP
Growth accelerates in Q4 2018
Detailed national accounts data released by Statistics Estonia on 1 March, showed that growth gained traction at the end of last year. GDP increased 4.2% on an annual basis in Q4, up from 4.0% in Q3 (previously reported: +4.2% year-on-year). Moreover, on a seasonally- and working day-adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, the economy expanded 2.2% in the fourth quarter, up markedly from a meager 0.4% expansion in the previous quarter. For the year, however, annual growth moderated from 4.9% in 2017 to 3.9% in 2018.
The year-on-year acceleration in the fourth quarter was driven by a sturdier performance from the external sector. Exports growth accelerated to 4.9% in Q4 on an annual basis (Q3: +1.9% yoy), largely thanks to higher exports of computers, electronic and optical equipment. At the same time, imports growth moderated somewhat but remained elevated (Q4: +6.1% yoy; Q3: +6.6% yoy). As a result, the external sector’s contribution to GDP improved in Q4 compared to Q3.
Domestic demand, meanwhile, cooled slightly in the fourth quarter but remained robust overall, increasing 6.0%-year-on-year, up from 6.6% in the third quarter (previously reported: +6.3% yoy). Fixed investment spearheaded the expansion, surging 17.7% annually in Q4, up markedly from Q3’s 4.2% increase, driven by booming investment in buildings and structures, as well as machinery and equipment. In addition, household consumption growth remained upbeat in Q4, picking up slightly from the previous quarter’s increase (Q4: +5.0% yoy; Q3: +4.5% yoy), against the backdrop of tightening labor market conditions. Lastly, government spending recovered from two consecutive quarters of contraction and rose at the fastest rate in over two years in the fourth quarter (Q4: +2.2% yoy; Q3: -0.8% yoy).
The Central Bank sees GDP expanding 3.2% in 2019 and 2.3% in 2020. Met the why particular panelists project the economy to grow 3.0% this year, unchanged from last month’s forecast. In 2020, our panelists see GDP growth moderating slightly to 2.5%.
Estonia - GDP Data
|Economic Growth (GDP, annual variation in %)||1.9||2.9||1.7||2.1||4.9|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Estonia GDP Chart
Source: Statistics Estonia.
|Exchange Rate||1.12||0.65 %||Mar 11|
|Stock Market||1,251||-0.38 %||Mar 11|
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March 15, 2019
Consumer prices rose 0.2% from the previous month in February, compared to January’s 0.2% decrease.
March 5, 2019
According to Statistics Estonia, annual working day-adjusted industrial production growth slowed from 5.4% in December to 4.7% in January.
March 1, 2019
Detailed national accounts data released by Statistics Estonia on 1 March, showed that growth gained traction at the end of last year.
February 20, 2019
Consumer prices fell 0.2% from the previous month in January, following December’s 0.3% decrease.
February 20, 2019
Estonia is set to hold a parliamentary election on 3 March, in what is expected to be a tightly contested race between the two leading political parties: the opposition Estonian Reform Party and the governing Estonian Centre Party.