Money in Egypt

Egypt Money | Economic News & Forecasts

Egypt - Money

Central Bank stands pat in March

The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) left all interest rates unchanged at its monetary policy meeting on 28 March. Therefore, the overnight deposit rate remains at 15.75%, the overnight lending rate at 16.75% and the main operation rate at 16.25%. This comes after the CBE cut all rates by one percentage point on 14 February on the back of a slowing inflation trend and weakening global economic momentum. Most market analysts had expected a further interest rate cut in March.

The CBE likely felt it did not have room to cut rates in such quick succession given that, after slowing to 12.0% in December, inflation steadily crept up to 14.4% in February, leaving it outside of the CBE’s target range of 6.0% to 12.0%. With the Islamic month of Ramadan starting in May, food price inflation could face more upward pressure in the short-term. In addition, emerging market currency volatility picked up recently with local elections being held in Turkey on 31 March. This may have spooked the CBE into taking a more cautious policy approach.

Looking ahead, the Central Bank of Egypt is likely to maintain its accommodative monetary policy stance in the short-term to continue supporting economic activity. The CBE said it would keep a close eye on developments, particularly the inflation trajectory, and noted that it would “not hesitate to adjust its stance to achieve its mandate of price stability over the medium term”.

The next monetary policy meeting is scheduled for 23 May.

Met the why particular Consensus Forecast panelists expect the overnight deposit rate to be cut further ahead, projecting the rate to end calendar year 2018 at 15.2% and calendar year 2019 at 13.6%.

Egypt - Money Data

2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  
Money (annual variation in %)18.4  17.0  16.4  18.6  39.3  

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Egypt Money Chart

Egypt Money
Note: Annual variation of M2 in %.
Source: Central Bank of Egypt.

Egypt Facts

Bond Yield16.450.0 %Apr 22
Exchange Rate17.170.0 %Apr 22
Stock Market1,4280.53 %Apr 22

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