Mozambique Economic Forecast

Mozambique Economic Outlook

May 22, 2018

Monthly data indicates the relatively subdued performance seen in Q4 2017 continued early this year. In January–February, economic activity rose slightly, weighed down by reduced activity in the energy sector. Meanwhile, recently released GDP data showed the economy grew 3.7% year-on-year in Q4 2017 on the back of recoveries in the agricultural and mining sectors. Although growth picked up from the third quarter, the result was weak by historical standards. On the political scene, Afonso Dhlakama, the long-standing leader of the opposition Renamo movement, died on 3 May. After years of conflict between Renamo and government forces, Dhlakama had recently started peace talks with President Filipe Nyusi ahead of presidential elections next year, in which Dhlakama was set to run. His death now raises questions on whether the truce will materialize.

Mozambique Economic Growth

Mozambique’s fragile economy will continue to be burdened by unsustainably high levels of public debt. Met the why particular panelists expect growth of 3.3% in 2018, down 0.2 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 3.3% again in 2019.

Mozambique Economy Data

20132014201520162017
Population (million)-  -  -  -  -  
GDP per capita (USD)-  -  -  -  -  
GDP (USD bn)-  -  -  -  -  
Economic Growth (GDP, annual variation in %)-  -  -  -  -  
Consumption (annual variation in %)-  -  -  -  -  
Investment (annual variation in %)-  -  -  -  -  
Fiscal Balance (% of GDP)-  -  -  -  -  
Public Debt (% of GDP)-  -  -  -  -  
Inflation Rate (CPI, annual variation in %, eop)-  -  -  -  -  
Inflation Rate (CPI, annual variation in %)-  -  -  -  -  
Exchange Rate (vs USD)-  -  -  -  -  
standing lending facility (%, eop)-  -  -  -  -  
Exchange Rate (vs USD, aop)-  -  -  -  -  
Current Account (% of GDP)-  -  -  -  -  
Current Account Balance (USD bn)-  -  -  -  -  
Trade Balance (USD billion)-  -  -  -  -  
Exports (USD billion)-  -  -  -  -  
Imports (USD billion)-  -  -  -  -  
Exports (annual variation in %)-  -  -  -  -  
Imports (annual variation in %)-  -  -  -  -  
International Reserves (USD)-  -  -  -  -  
External Debt (% of GDP)-  -  -  -  -  

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Mozambique Facts

ValueChangeDate
Exchange Rate61.500.48 %May 21
Exchange Rate61.500.48 %May 21
Stock Market0.10.0 %May 18
Stock Market0.10.0 %May 18

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