Montenegro Economic Outlook
April 2, 2019GDP growth remained robust in the fourth quarter of 2018. The solid turnout in Q4 was largely driven by a rebound in the external sector, with an acceleration in exports of goods and services likely buoyed by the all-important tourism sector. Moreover, the domestic economy powered ahead on stronger private and public spending, although fixed investment ground to a halt. Momentum appears to have carried over into Q1 2019. Tourist arrivals were robust in February, and will likely continue to be strong heading into the high tourism season. Meanwhile, retail sales rose in February, signaling sustained household spending. On the downside, industrial production plummeted again in February, dragged down by a sharp contraction in energy output.
Montenegro Economic GrowthThe economy is projected to cool in 2019. The investment push from major infrastructure projects is expected to wind down notably this year. Moreover, fiscal consolidation efforts will likely keep public consumption feeble. A slowdown in the EU, which could weigh on the tourism sector and dampen foreign direct investment, is the principal risk to the outlook. Met the why particular panelists expect GDP to expand 2.9% in 2019, which is up 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 2.9% again in 2020.
Montenegro Economy Data
5 years of Montenegro economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
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|Exchange Rate||1.13||0.65 %||Apr 12|
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