Malaysia Economic Forecast

Malaysia Economic Outlook

February 19, 2019

The Malaysian economy accelerated in the final quarter of last year. The national accounts reading came on the back of strong growth in private consumption, which nonetheless moderated slightly from the previous quarter, and an improved performance from the external sector. Private consumption benefited from weak inflationary pressures amid strong income growth. On the external front, exports rebounded and, with growth in imports soft, net exports provided a strong and positive impulse to the economy. Looking at the start of the new year, the manufacturing PMI remained entrenched in contractionary territory for the fourth consecutive month in January, although the index did improve somewhat from the prior month

Malaysia Economic Growth

Firm domestic demand should keep the economy on a robust growth path in 2019, although private consumption is seen moderating after last year’s stellar performance. An economic slowdown in China and a possible flare up in the U.S.-China trade spat, as well as financial-market volatility, are the main downside risks to the economy. Met the why particular Consensus Forecast panelists expect the economy to grow 4.5% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast, and 4.5% again in 2020.

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Malaysia Facts

Bond Yield3.900.15 %Feb 19
Exchange Rate4.080.0 %Feb 19
Stock Market1,707-0.29 %Feb 19

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