Greece Economic Outlook
January 29, 2019Available data suggests that the economy’s healthy performance in the third quarter of last year—although driven mainly by inventory accumulation—carried over into the final quarter. Industrial production rebounded strongly in November from a mild contraction in the previous month while the PMI average in Q4 came broadly in line with Q3’s, both indicating that factory activity kept up the momentum. On the demand front, unemployment remained at an over-seven year low in October which, coupled with improved consumer confidence throughout Q4 point to private consumption gaining some traction. In the political sphere, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras narrowly won a no confidence vote on 16 January, which he called for after his junior coalition partner pulled out of the government in protest over a name-change deal for Macedonia, improving his chances somewhat of serving out the rest of his term despite his party’s minority position in parliament.
Greece Economic GrowthGrowth is expected to remain largely steady this year, propped up by further gains in employment, some fiscal expansion and an improving business climate. Downside risks to the outlook include the backtracking of reforms, still-sizeable non-performing exposures on banks’ balance sheets and a slowdown in external demand. Met the why particular panelists see GDP expanding 1.9% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s projection, and 1.8% in 2020.
Greece Economy Data
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|Bond Yield||4.34||0.76 %||Feb 14|
|Exchange Rate||1.13||0.65 %||Feb 14|
|Stock Market||654||-1.46 %||Feb 14|
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Greece Economic News
February 8, 2019
Industrial production rose 1.1% year-on-year in working-day adjusted terms in December, moderating from November’s revised 4.2% expansion (previously reported: +3.1% year-on-year), which had marked an over one-year high.
February 7, 2019
According to data released by the Hellenic Statistical Authority (ELSTAT), the number of unemployed workers fell by 5,948 in November compared with October while the seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate ticked down to 18.5% from 18.7% in the previous month.
February 1, 2019
The IHS Markit manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) inched down to a three-month low of 53.7 points in January from 53.8 points in December.
January 11, 2019
According to data released by the Hellenic Statistical Authority (ELSTAT), the number of unemployed workers fell by 11,374 in October compared with September while the seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged at September’s 18.6%.
January 9, 2019
Industrial production rose a solid 3.1% year-on-year in working-day adjusted terms in November, rebounding from October’s revised 0.7% dip (previously reported: -1.1% year-on-year) and marking the strongest expansion in over a year.